Zapatero's resignation. A problem for the PP? Jobs in Europe
If the Popular Party to the promised very happy, given the unanimity of the polls predicting a clear victory in elections in 2012, Zapatero announced that a candidate will not alter the scenario. Things change, with PSOE without the negative charge of its current leader and another facing the front of their lists.
General elections are held, in principle, within more than one year, among other things because that is the intention of the president, and by then the Socialists will try to remove as much as possible the traces of the disastrous management made up now. Without Zapatero, will be able to say that the past is past and have prescriptions for the future. Another thing is that the English 'buy' the message. But they will enjoy an opportunity that now seemed impossible.
Looking at local and regional elections in May, will be difficult for the PSOE dulled the succession debate that has just opened. Although it has achieved what they claimed as Barreda regional barons and Fernández Vara: Zapatero announced his farewell before the election campaign. Maybe get the 22-M is not a "review the Prime Minister", but it will be hard not to become a "test the government."
The PP calls for early elections and
- Power steering People's National Party consulted by The Digital Confidential, confirm that Zapatero's announcement means that they will demand the immediate convening of elections. Their arguments are that a country in the serious situation that is Spain can not spend a year with a "caretaker government."
- No force lacks reasoning, because from here any negotiations to star this government will be influenced by the question of whether he can fulfill the agreement, since it has assessed over time. Would it be for something the commitments that will now take this government?
- For example, it will be difficult for big business again to attend a meeting in La Moncloa, because it will no longer be president. And unions know if you remember what today will be fulfilled tomorrow.
- At the same time, the question is whether Zapatero himself go more than a year as 'chairman'. It is what it says it will do, has promised to complete the term, but one thing is what you want and another that can. Not because they have parliamentary support, which can get them, but because a president 'terminated' is much diminished when it comes to governing.
- True, as suggested Emilio Botin, would be good for the economy would not have early elections, precisely so that the reform agenda approved or about to pass will not cut and applied by May 2012. Open now an electoral process will slow or unusable most of the measures. And the country is not for many jokes.
The PSOE is 'touched'
- The PSOE's problems are not going to end with the departure announced yesterday. Zapatero disasters are not just your responsibility. The barons of the party can not wriggle out now, because they have maintained, or at least acquiesced. The same can be said of the match: it will be difficult to remove the smell of Zapatero.
- leaks that April 2 was to produce the big announcement were true. There was a voice that said three national newspapers. Suspicion pointed to Joseph White as Deep Throat, and now it appears that indeed he was.
- Marcelino Iglesias has become ridiculous, with his press conference in which he said would not cause any announcement because he, as secretary of organization, "would have to know." If the office has been great to still president of Aragon, now the seat smells like gunpowder, much more when his defender, Rodriguez Zapatero, left.
- It appears, in fact, that he was at the end of the street was Joseph White. A key clue is your decision, scandalous when it was announced that there would Opening meeting with Zapatero campaign in Vistalegre Square on April 3, on the day after the federal committee. He knew very well why it annulled.
- Advance voting? It seems unlikely, and certainly would be the worst solution for the PSOE, which takes time to try to retrieve the intention to vote, hard hit right now. When he later held the elections, can have more opportunity to erase the evil socialist memory of the crisis.
- Zapatero spent his last cartridges as head of government with the latest cabinet crisis, which threw the rest, with the addition of Rubalcaba on everything. No longer are other rabbits in the hat. Indeed. This government is going to live with penalties what is in office until the 2012 elections.
To have primary need more than one candidate
- The Federal Committee to be held after the May local elections will referee the procedure to appoint the successor as general secretary of the PSOE.
- So far, it has always been the party leader has been the candidate to head the government, and does not have anything happen in the future. So the choice of secretary general is key.
- In the PSOE the words 'primary' seems magical speech. But the fact is that, to be held, there needs to be more than one candidate.
- Zapatero output strengthens relative to Alfredo Perez Rubalcaba, to the extent that a possible feeling of orphanhood in the PSOE, and fear of the void by the departure of the leader, can lead to entrust to the seniority and strength raised by the vice president. It is time to do experiments.
- At the same time, weakened somewhat to Carme Chacon, by his youth and inexperience, because it is still too young and does not create confidence, and it disappears its main supporter and umbrellas so far, ie Zapatero.
- It is not impossible, therefore, that Chacon finally, evaluating their chances, try to miss the opportunity and hope for better times.
- What will happen to Jose Blanco? It has the power to control the innermost springs of the party, but can not walk alone. Everything indicates that long Rubalcaba has agreed to a deal of influence. There has been talk that the former could be prime minister and deputy secretary general of the PSOE, but the reality is that Rubalcaba can not be very quiet if only occupies one of the two counts, it is logical that want to occupy the two, least for now. Later, we'll see. Back to Leon
- In Zapatero's decision have weighed several arguments keys. One of them, that goes way back, the idea that two electoral mandates are sufficient. And the evidence that his continuance in office has become a heavy burden for the party, which is severely punished in the polls for the responsibility that citizens Zapatero blamed on the country's economic plight.
- Therefore, the slip of last Christmas, when he let that which already had in mind was not so slip: a response to their plans.
- Yet another argument, not less, is the complaint of his wife, Sonsoles Espinosa for the punishment that was suffering the family, all daughters, as a result of the continued La Moncloa. As just said one of the most knowledgeable people to the president, this waiver "owed to Sonsoles."
- Zapatero has always said that when President finished his shift, he thought "back to Leon." Will have to see if he keeps his word. And it promised to be "a former president exemplary", and not as their predecessors, clearly alluding to the political maneuvers of Felipe González and José María Aznar, who followed tangling. Also to be seen. Red
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